By Christopher Delgado, N.W. Minot, World Bank

ISBN-10: 0585376557

ISBN-13: 9780585376554

ISBN-10: 0821347799

ISBN-13: 9780821347799

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Additional info for Agriculture in Tanzania Since 1986: Follower or Leader of Growth? (World Bank Country Study)

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3 percent per year since 1985. 4 percent. Other components such as livestock and forestry have lower recorded numbers. Our estimates should be considered very tentative in light of the fact that we have not revised the previous simple projection assumptions used by NBS to estimate growth in minor crops, forestry, and animal products. 4 percent over 1985–1998. This growth rate is slightly below that of population, but it is fairly respectable given the declining real producer price and the large increase in fertilizer prices.

4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Milk Prices in Associated Urban and Rural Feeder Markets 1987–1998 140 Page ix ABSTRACT Agriculture in Tanzania since 1986: Follower or Leader of Growth is organized in nine parts. In addition to the executive summary which outlines the main findings and key messages, Chapter One addresses the main agricultural controversies in Tanzania’s development strategy, outlined earlier. The analysis in the report establishes that agriculture can be an engine rather than a follower of growth in Tanzania and the pivot for poverty reduction.

The most significant declines were in fertilizer use on maize, particularly in the Southern Highlands. Overall, the impact on national maize production has probably been modest (less than 5 percent). This conclusion is based on: a) low initial use of fertilizer on food crops in a national context; b) calculations using the physical response of maize to fertilizer, c) the absence of measurable reductions in maize yield, and d) the statistical insignificance of fertilizer price in econometric estimation of maize supply.

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Agriculture in Tanzania Since 1986: Follower or Leader of Growth? (World Bank Country Study) by Christopher Delgado, N.W. Minot, World Bank


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